Software strategies and more…

Salesforce.com continues to ramp up its cloud offering and bolster its position as a leading business applications provider for companies of all sizes. All indications show that later this month there is a big announcement coming from SFDC and VMware about their joint product launch that combines SFDC’s could applications with VMware virtualization technologies. You can see the mock up landing page created here .

Now I am going out on a limb here, but I expect a lot to be made of this partnership as SalesForce.com and VMware bring two big trends together to offer scalable applications and infrastructure environments for their customers – perhaps being one of the first to link Software as a Service (SaaS) with Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS). This positions them very well against Microsoft and IBM and in some cases ahead of Oracle in terms of dynamic customer offerings. A successful partnership may also continue the trend away from maintenance agreements that many large software vendors rely on for earning reports and re-invest back into development.

What else may this mean?

Well given the growth of virtualization (take and assessment here)  in corporate data centres and an increase in the usage of  web-based software to meet employee and business needs – these two technologies have a natural fit. By combining the ability to support growing server needs to an ability to dynamically apportion computing, application and processing resources needed for spikes in business demand (say a large payroll run to the opening of a new store and IT needs for adding people, processes and applications based on projected not real commerce) companies may flock in droves to an offering like this with pretty clear ROI and limited risk.

Build on top of this the growing application platform that SFDC brings with AppExchange and ChatterExchange and real-time application deployment, messaging and even management of both physical and web-based resources becomes readily available to businesses big and small.

Granted this is all speculation – but I’ll definitely be updating this blog in few weeks when the cat is out of the bag.

Late in 2009 both SalesForce.com and SAP began beta testing social applications that proposed businesses could use social tools within their walls to address a variety of needs from financial management and sales tracking to impromptu group collaboration. Since then both of these solutions have gone live and are beginning to garner much interest in the Enterprise 2.0 communities.

The applications are Chatter and StreamWork, respectively. I blogged about StreamWork before as it occurred how in the business environment we use word processing tools less and less and depend more and more on our email to communicate ideas across departments, teams and amongst individuals.

I have also touched on the incorporation of business intelligence and search (here) and how these could automate the presentation of information in the context of what an individual, team or department is doing at any given time. I talked in my blog about how I saw the trifecta of business intelligence, search and collaboration tools adding previously untapped insight, thus value, to employees in a highly tailored, yet automated way.

Now I am seeing the productization of this in both Chatter (and Chatterbox by Financial Force.com) and StreamWork. Salesforce’s Chatter, “…which has been described by Salesforce.com CEO Marc Benioff as a way to make the cloud more collaborative and social.”  adds another dimension to the companies AppExchange so much that the company created ChatterExchange a one stop shop for business grade collaborative tools that can plug-in to the many services and products that businesses are subscribing to from Salesforce.com.

SAP has positioned its self as a thought leader here by doing something completely un-SAP like. By first introducing StreamWork (nee 12Sprints) as a tool to aid in cross organization discussions, decision making and delivery toolkit for organization it took the emerging trends in social collaboration being tackled by the likes of Google Wave and Microsoft’s SharePoint 2010 and packaged them in context of a business application with integration into business processes.

While there are differences between the products, SAP stays closer to a collaboration tool that connects to popular email, content management and unified communications solutions while Saleforce.com’s Chatter leverages what it has learned from relationships with social media tools like Facebook and twitter. Both address the needs for robust, business grade solutions for collaboration, messaging and workflows. They both advance the enterprise from treating communications as transactional and promote relationships that unleash a community’s ability to work together in real time on topics of interest to bring business and customer value.

The exciting part is both of these tools are open to others to develop on top of and thus create a social network of their own for improvement in a very dynamic fashion. While is is not necessarily new of Salesforce.com, it certainly is not the business norm for SAP.

The potential value for using these applications may be tremendous for their customers who can now stay on top of internal and external events, opportunities and tipping points so that they can participate in conversations that previously they may have not even known were happening. Further by offering social tools in the context of the business they have potentially set their customers up to take advantage of that next big leap in productivity making them more competitive and more agile than other organizations.

Woke up to read (amongst a weekend worth of posts) the following article from Information Week’s Global CIO: Oracle’s Larry Ellison Declares War On IBM And SAP.

I must admit it hasn’t been a secret that Oracle has been marshaling for this battle, after all any company that spends approximately $25 Billion in acquisitions since 2005 (source) must start making money back at some point. The ‘billion dollar’ question in my opinion is whether the promised fusion of all its applications really works?

Having worked for a company that at one time stated an intent to unify its ERP code across all of its disparate applications only to find that neither customers or partners wanted this – not to mention the engineering pitfalls that become readily apparent – I doubt whether the current plans for fusion can be met in a way that will appease all the stakeholders Oracle needs to oust IBM or SAP as the respective market leaders in high-end servers and business applications.

In the Global CIO article, “Ellison promised that the second half of 2010 will be a momentous one for not only Oracle but also the entire IT industry and its enterprise customers because that’s when Oracle will roll out its completely reengineered Fusion software lineup along with more integrated and optimized Oracle-Sun systems, along the lines of the wildly successful Exadata 2.” Given this promise happened during the Oracle earnings calls, I cannot see how this is much more than a rally cry to sales that he hopes to the Wall Street will echo in an increase of stock price.

By the way Oracle’s stock price, much like Larry’s bid to win the America’s Cup back for many years prior to this one, has been stuck in the doldrums - neither rising or falling much over the past several years – recently it has grown at market average but still trailed SAP, IBM and Microsoft’s growth. A reflection that while Oracle has been busy amalgamating and consolidating many IT players there has not been an overwhelming belief that will pan out for Oracle or its customers.

One important aspect of fusion that Oracle promises, but again trails some of its immediate rivals, is that Oracle promises many of its fusion application can be run either on-premise or via the cloud. SAP realized the need for this hybrid strategy when it attempted in 2007 to launch Business By Design and Microsoft has been working on this since 2005 with its Software+Services strategy. And IBM has been driving its ability to deliver infrastructure as a service and many of its applications as a service for the past several years as well – these have culminated into its Smarter Planet initiative. So Oracle is far from being a thought leader here.

Personally, I think the most telling quote is at the end of the article, Larry says, “So we’ll be delivering those applications both by selling the software directly, kinda the old way of doing it, which is still the most popular, by the way; we’ll be selling the Fusion applications integrated with our hardware—our servers and our storage and our networks; and we’ll be selling it on the cloud.” He later added, “our cloud or somebody else’s”.

This is worth noting if you read the article on Oracle sniffing (original post by Dennis Howlett). Might one conjecture that by acquiring SUN and (especially)  JAVA that Oracle will start charging customers relentlessly for access to any products Oracle deems ‘fused’ thus boosting revenues at the potential expense of customer privacy and satisfaction? Will customers stand for this (thus allowing Oracle to achieve the stated path of dominating IBM and SAP in their respective markets?) or might their customers seek out comparable solutions from IBM, SAP and others for database, BI, ERP, CRM, etc during their next refresh?

Time will tell.

There has been much adieu about Oracle in the news latest and their promise to deliver a stack. Fellow analyst Ray Wang has a good write up here , and there are other notable reports here , here and here  .

Meanwhile SAP reported down but leveling earning for their fiscal Q4; reports here , here  , and here (as well as many others across the web).

Nonetheless, SAP still remains the top dog in the business software space and is revving up its engines to grow into the mid-market via partners, expand its footprint in BI through its investments in the BOBJ toolset and strengthening partnership with Microsoft and of course driving more value for its enterprise consulting and implementation partners.

But given the nature of large ERP implementations and the strong investments that went on from 2004-2008, can we really expect SAP to continue to drive sales as the level that many investors and technology analysts has grown to expect? Moreover, can SAP keep up growth in an environment where two of its largest competitors are preaching one-stop stack solutions?

My feeling is “Yes”.

However to do so, SAP will have to focus on building go-to-market approach that leverages their installed base and offers them the flexibility to expand via a Software as a Service (SaaS) model. Whilst Oracle wrestles with aligning all the packages it has acquired over the past decade into a suite and Microsoft depends of partners to drive innovation and interoperability across both Microsoft and other partner solutions – SAP should rapidly adapt itself to something similar to SalesForce.com’s Force.com model. Thereby making it easier for line of business needs to be met with ‘cloud-based’ software that has strong integration into SAP’s core solutions and middleware.

SAP must also invest in its mid and lower enterprise sales channels. Over the past 5 years, SAP has done a lot to develop this channel and build competencies in selling to the midmarket industry segment. This channel is now both competent and ripe for the picking by its competitors who can offer them the ability to sell solutions from databases to collaborative tools. SAP needs to reassess its commitment to these partners by either strengthening its own partnership with vendors that can provide incremental business to its ecosystem or acquire some of the emerging vendors that can meet this need – potentially allowing their partners to position leap frog technologies.

SAP also needs to continue to grow its channel business if it is serious in gaining midmarket ground. Microsoft Dynamics has over 10,000 partners globally. SAP is no where near that. Given the softness many tier 2 ERP vendors are feeling (read Syspro, Epicor, Sage) SAP needs to selectively go after some of these companies more established partners. If not, then you can bet that a re-energized Oracle will making it even harder for SAP to grow in the midmarket in the long term.